Current ArticleBy V on May 12, 2008 at 2:27 AM in Delegates, Electability, Electoral College, Superdelegates
I’ve updated my post: “Math that Matters Most”. with fresh data from Hominid Views that, once again, shows Barack loses and Hillary wins in the general election.
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Good! Nice to see a more scientific analysis, not just pundits talking about stats.
EC is where it really counts. They are the final say who will be president.
Great news for a Monday morning. Thanks, V! It’s bloggers like you, Susan, Larry, etc., that are going to help Hillary win, and win big!
Remember: Only 2209 delegates is legit!
The Monte Carlo simulations of Hominid View are just great. I thought of running some, but i am too lazy to gather the data and do it(i have a new born baby and the cute thing cries all night long…so i totally sleep deprived these weeks). Moreover, 10,000 simulations give you enough data points and that is showed in solid SEs and a nice 95% CI. Really a great job.